Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#92
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#124
Pace76.0#35
Improvement-3.2#307

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#38
First Shot+7.2#18
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#273
Layup/Dunks+1.8#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#43
Freethrows+1.2#90
Improvement-1.4#254

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#177
First Shot-1.9#230
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#46
Layups/Dunks+3.3#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#351
Freethrows+2.6#33
Improvement-1.8#265
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 36.0 - 4.06.0 - 6.0
Quad 417.0 - 2.023.0 - 8.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 113   Grand Canyon W 79-74 65%     1 - 0 +6.3 +3.6 +2.5
  Nov 08, 2018 334   Alabama St. W 78-61 96%     2 - 0 +1.7 +7.7 -4.0
  Nov 16, 2018 220   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 78-84 71%     2 - 1 -6.5 -1.8 -4.2
  Nov 19, 2018 282   Tulane L 80-84 87%     2 - 2 -10.9 +0.8 -11.4
  Nov 20, 2018 148   Texas San Antonio W 99-79 66%     3 - 2 +21.2 +20.4 -0.3
  Nov 21, 2018 163   Colorado St. W 78-65 71%     4 - 2 +12.7 +4.8 +8.3
  Nov 28, 2018 233   UMKC W 75-47 87%     5 - 2 +21.1 +1.0 +21.0
  Dec 01, 2018 164   Northern Iowa W 82-50 71%     6 - 2 +31.7 +12.4 +19.9
  Dec 04, 2018 58   @ Memphis L 80-88 29%     6 - 3 +3.1 +2.8 +1.4
  Dec 07, 2018 336   Southern W 101-92 97%     7 - 3 -7.4 +17.5 -25.2
  Dec 11, 2018 346   Savannah St. W 139-72 98%     8 - 3 +48.7 +23.2 +9.8
  Dec 15, 2018 26   @ Nevada L 68-72 15%     8 - 4 +12.2 +3.2 +9.0
  Dec 18, 2018 227   @ Eastern Washington W 74-64 73%     9 - 4 +9.1 -1.0 +9.9
  Dec 22, 2018 130   Montana L 74-85 70%     9 - 5 -11.0 +0.7 -11.9
  Dec 28, 2018 293   @ Western Illinois W 100-58 83%     10 - 5 1 - 0 +37.0 +23.4 +12.7
  Jan 03, 2019 182   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 88-104 65%     10 - 6 1 - 1 -14.5 +1.2 -13.5
  Jan 06, 2019 226   @ South Dakota W 79-61 72%     11 - 6 2 - 1 +17.2 +6.8 +10.5
  Jan 10, 2019 304   Denver W 78-66 93%     12 - 6 3 - 1 +0.6 -2.5 +3.0
  Jan 12, 2019 286   Oral Roberts W 84-65 91%     13 - 6 4 - 1 +9.2 -0.3 +8.8
  Jan 16, 2019 258   @ North Dakota W 78-74 78%     14 - 6 5 - 1 +1.1 +3.4 -2.4
  Jan 24, 2019 195   North Dakota St. W 87-69 83%     15 - 6 6 - 1 +13.2 -0.3 +11.5
  Jan 26, 2019 162   Nebraska Omaha W 83-73 78%     16 - 6 7 - 1 +7.1 +1.1 +5.5
  Jan 31, 2019 286   @ Oral Roberts W 86-80 82%     17 - 6 8 - 1 +1.8 +1.7 -0.3
  Feb 03, 2019 304   @ Denver W 92-82 85%     18 - 6 9 - 1 +4.2 +12.4 -8.5
  Feb 09, 2019 258   North Dakota W 80-55 90%     19 - 6 10 - 1 +16.5 +2.5 +13.5
  Feb 14, 2019 162   @ Nebraska Omaha L 84-85 61%     19 - 7 10 - 2 +1.6 +5.1 -3.5
  Feb 16, 2019 195   @ North Dakota St. W 78-77 67%     20 - 7 11 - 2 +1.7 +10.1 -8.3
  Feb 21, 2019 182   Purdue Fort Wayne W 92-83 81%     21 - 7 12 - 2 +4.9 +4.5 -0.6
  Feb 23, 2019 226   South Dakota W 94-89 86%     22 - 7 13 - 2 -1.4 +13.6 -15.3
  Mar 02, 2019 293   Western Illinois W 86-66 92%     23 - 7 14 - 2 +9.4 +12.2 -2.0
  Mar 09, 2019 293   Western Illinois L 76-79 89%     23 - 8 -10.8 -8.3 -2.2
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%